On Friday, the government will release its latest inflation report, which shows how much prices have changed for things we often buy. This report is especially important to the Federal Reserve, which uses it to make decisions about interest rates. Financial markets will be watching closely to see how inflation has changed because the Fed wants to keep inflation low and stable.
Inflation, measured by core PCE, rose 2.8% annually in February, on par with estimates. Both headline and core PCE increased 0.3% monthly.
Despite meeting expectations, the Fed remains likely to hold interest rates steady. However, rising consumer spending (0.8% monthly) could lead to additional inflation pressures.
The report indicates inflation remains sticky, potentially delaying Fed rate cuts expected for June.
Inflation based on the Fed's index rose in January, primarily due to services costs. Goods prices declined. Despite a surprising increase in income, spending decreased. The tight labor market continues, with slight growth in jobless claims. Inflation is gradually easing, but remains elevated, impacting the Fed's interest rate decisions. The timing and extent of rate cuts remain uncertain.
