Eurozone inflation remained steady at 2.4% in April despite a slight rise in core inflation to 2.7%. Meanwhile, the economy rebounded with 0.3% growth in the first quarter, ending a brief recession in the second half of last year. Economists expect the European Central Bank to cut interest rates in June to prevent an economic slowdown, but the pace of easing remains uncertain due to firmer core inflation and ongoing risks.
Inflation in the UK slightly eased from 3.4% to 3.2% in March, but it's still higher than expected. The core inflation rate, which excludes energy and food, was 4.2%, higher than the 4.1% forecast. This has led many investors to believe that inflation will take longer to fall than expected, and that the first interest rate cut by the Bank of England may happen later than June, as previously anticipated.
Inflation rose to 3.5% in March, driven by higher housing, gasoline, and other costs. However, some areas, like groceries, have seen improvement. While overall inflation is still elevated, wage growth has outpaced inflation, boosting household buying power. Experts believe inflation may be taking longer to subside than expected, but progress is being made and a return to normal levels is anticipated.
Inflation in the euro zone has slightly decreased to 2.4%. This has led to expectations that the European Central Bank will begin reducing interest rates in June. While some sectors remain inflationary, overall price pressures have eased. A low unemployment rate and the recent messaging of ECB officials support the likelihood of rate cuts in the near future.
Despite efforts, inflation may take longer to tame, potentially leading to a "deferred landing." The Federal Reserve will remain cautious, keeping interest rates high, which could benefit those earning income from portfolios. Experts advise against changing long-term investment strategies, maintaining diversification and asset allocation, as timing inflation projections accurately doesn't necessarily guarantee better returns.
Despite ongoing inflation, certain categories are experiencing price drops. Egg prices have plummeted by 17%, while health insurance, laundry equipment, and car rentals have also seen significant declines. While the Federal Reserve aims for 2% inflation, core inflation remains elevated at 3.8%, indicating that it will take time to bring prices under control. Despite the challenges, real wages have risen since 2019, and global inflation is expected to moderate in the future.
