It is a daily ritual for millions of Australians, but if you have noticed the price of your morning flat white or soy latte increase, brace yourself — it is likely to get worse.
By the end of the year,...
It is a daily ritual for millions of Australians, but if you have noticed the price of your morning flat white or soy latte increase, brace yourself — it is likely to get worse.
By the end of the year,...
The Federal Reserve's goal of 2% inflation faces challenges in 2024. Inflation has declined but remains above the target. The Fed is cautious before cutting interest rates until the data supports a clear path to 2%. Housing inflation, especially in rent costs, remains a concern. The Fed wants more time to monitor the economy and investigate if these costs will decline as expected.
Wholesale inflation increased slightly in March, but not as much as expected. Over the past year, inflation has risen 2.1%, which could keep overall inflation high. Despite this, the number of people filing for unemployment benefits has decreased, suggesting the economy is still growing.
Investors are adjusting their expectations for future interest rate movements due to recent economic data and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. The market previously anticipated six rate cuts, but now only three are expected. Inflation remains high, leaving investors uncertain about the timing and extent of rate cuts. A cautious approach is advised, with gradual adjustments to bond portfolios recommended. Domestic U.S. fixed income investments are seen as relatively stable, while international investments may provide opportunities but require careful consideration.
The Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates until November or later, as forecaster Jim Bianco believes the economy is currently too strong. Despite some improvement, inflation remains high, and rising Treasury yields indicate that market expectations for a June rate cut are waning. Bianco predicts that the 10-year yield could potentially reach 5.5% this year, a level not seen in over two decades.
China's economy is doing better than expected. Retail sales, industrial production, and investment all grew more than analysts predicted in the first two months of the year. Online retail sales also increased significantly. However, consumer demand is still weak, and investment in real estate has fallen. The government is considering further policy easing measures to boost growth.
Wholesale prices rose faster than expected in February, indicating ongoing inflation concerns. The producer price index jumped 0.6%, largely due to a surge in energy costs. Retail sales also increased but fell short of estimates. Meanwhile, jobless claims declined slightly. This data highlights the challenges facing the US economy as inflation remains high.
Inflation rose unexpectedly in March, exceeding the Federal Reserve's target. The increase in prices has caused concern and shifted market expectations for interest rate cuts, with financial markets now predicting fewer cuts than previously anticipated. Key data releases later this week could influence the Fed's future decision-making.
