- ORIGINAL NEWS
China investors will be asking these 3 questions in 2024
- SUMMARY
China’s economic growth story has been overshadowed by long-term problems and tensions with the U.S. in the last year.
Investors are looking at property stabilization, an exit from deflation, better policy execution, and communication for confidence recovery.
Despite pockets of strong growth, China’s economy grew around 5% in 2023, lower than expected, due to real estate troubles and sluggish exports.
Beijing has announced supportive policies, but their impact is yet to be seen.
The property market downturn has been a significant drag on the economy, and the pace of decline is expected to slow in 2024.
However, a turning point is not yet clear.
Beijing aims to reduce the property sector’s contribution to GDP, but it’s uncertain if new growth drivers can replace it.
Despite challenges, China wants to bolster domestic tech and advanced manufacturing.
High-end manufacturing sub-sectors and companies growing global revenue are areas to watch.
Producer prices are expected to return to growth in Q2, boosting corporate earnings.
- NEWS SENTIMENT CHECK
- Overall sentiment:
negative
Positive
“Citi analysts said in a Jan. 3 report.They expect that as early as January, the People’s Bank of China could reduce rates, such as the reserve requirement ratio — the amount of funds lenders need to hold as reserves.”
“Beijing has announced a slew of incrementally supportive policies.”
Negative
“Despite pockets of strong growth, China’s investment story has been overshadowed in the last year by longer-term problems and tensions with the U.S.”
“sluggish growth was the story for much of 2023, dragged down by real estate troubles and a slump in exports.”